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VIETNAM VIGNETTES®
Copyright
© 1997-2004 Vietnam Venture Group, Inc.
®  All rights reserved.  March 13,  2004

Issue No. 75
March 2004

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Our 6th year on the Internet & 10th year in Vietnam
A Periodic Report to Our Clients

IN THIS ISSUE

COMMENTARY: Suspended For Present

We've suspended our comments as we've been very busy just getting this news out and completing our profit making work. We'd like to continue but need your views. Read our commentary (linked above) and our dispatches (linked below).

The 1st BOT Power Plant Opens

Toyota Shrinks Local Workforce

Continental Air in Vietnam

American Airline Routes to Vietnam

Steel Tariffs Reduced to Zero

Giant Cement Plant Breaks Ground

The Trans-Asia Highway

FDI Review: 1998-2008

The Promise of Vietnam Investment

See VVG's  monthly feature on Current Economic Indicators of Foreign Direct Investment in Vietnam

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 COMMENTARY

Suspended for the Present. We are very busy; so are many others in Vietnam. These free services are still popular but.... Of the more than 20,000 visitors to our pages in February 2004, the number of readers of this page continued to slip. Our cover page rated only No. 46 while this page, the actual dispatches, did not place in the top 60 pages.  To save our time for paying clients, we are thus suspending our commentary.  If you would like to see these pages continue, we will need to hear from you.  Write to us and tell us about yourself, your work, your location, your interest in these vignettes, and how often you turn to this page. Thanks.

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Dispatches

 

Vietnam's first BOT power plant opens

A US$450 million (VND7.07 trillion) gas-fired power plant, Vietnam's first power plant built under the BOT (build-operate-transfer) form began commercial operations in the southern coastal province of Ba Ria Vung Tau.

The plant, which took 26 months to build, is fueled by gas from the Nam Con Son basin off the coast, under a 20-year agreement with a consortium including Britain's BP; SembCorp Utilities Pte Ltd of Singapore; and Japanese Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc/Nisso Iwai Corporation alliance.

The plant will be handed over to Electricity of Vietnam (EVN) after the 20-year agreement expires,

The plant can consume about three million cubic meters of gas per day at full capacity. With a design capacity of 716.8 megawatts, it is expected to add almost 10 percent to the current total designed capacity of all power plants in Vietnam.

The nation's power demand is expected to surge between 14 and 15 percent this year (2004) according to EVN who warn against a shortage of power in forthcoming months following under- performance at a major hydroelectric power plant due to the falling level of water in reservoirs.

"Power supply will face many difficulties in the April-June period and power shortage at peak hour[s] would be probable" the EVN Power management center advised.
  http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Southeast_Asia/FC04Ae03.html

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Toyota lays off 20 pct of Vietnam workforce

Vietnam's biggest Japanese car assembler, Toyota Motor Corp , said it recently laid off nearly 20 percent of its workforce in the country because of a tax hike that has hit sales.

From March 1, Toyota shrank its Vietnam workforce to 545 from 670.

The firm, which controls about 26 percent of the country's auto market, became the first among 11 foreign car makers in the country to slash jobs after new taxes, up to 24 percent on car sales, came into effect this year.

"We have to let people go because of the shrinkage in sales," said an official from the firm, which operates in a joint venture with a Vietnamese partner.

Sales figures for February were not available but company officials were quoted by state media as saying January-February sales dropped 50 percent from a year earlier.

The firm sold 667 vehicles in January this year while sales for the whole of 2003 stood at 11,769 units.

Foreign auto makers have said they expect to almost halve production in 2004 to a combined 22,000 cars as the new taxes squeeze demand.

In May last year, the government slapped the special consumption tax on locally assembled cars along with a 25 percent tariff on imported auto parts from January this year.

The taxes and duties are scheduled to rise until 2007, when the special consumption tax will reach 80 percent for automobiles with fewer than five seats.

Ford and General Motors Corp protested the moves, which Hanoi said were needed to offset projected falling revenue in 2006 when it joins the ASEAN free trade agreement.

Vietnamese buyers, scrambling to beat the higher ticket prices this year, sent car sales surging 59.4 percent in 2003.

Foreign car makers say they employ more than 7,500 workers. They have warned that if the higher taxes are not repealed, investment in the sector will drop to $1 million by 2007 from previous projections of $18.7 million.

 Copyright 2004, Reuters News Service  http://www.forbes.com/home_asia/newswire/2004/03/03/rtr1284191.html

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Continental opens sales offices in Vietnam

Continental Airlines, the world's seventh largest carrier, opened its first sales office in Vietnam ahead of an expected formal code-share agreement with Vietnam Airlines.

Continental announced Wednesday that Traveland Joint Stock Company formally begun to act as its sales agent.  The American carrier said it wanted to tap the growing numbers of ethnic Vietnamese traveling to and from the United States.

"The U.S. is a huge market with more than one million former Vietnamese residing in the United States and overseas Vietnamese have begun traveling back to their homeland," it said in a statement.

In 2002, 280,000 passengers traveled between the United States and Vietnam, 75% of whom were Vietnamese-Americans, according to Vietnam Airlines.

The start of Continental's sales operations here follows January's signing of a landmark U.S.-Vietnam aviation agreement that allows direct flights between the two countries for the first time since the Vietnam War ended in 1975.

Although the five-year pact only permits two U.S. passenger airlines to fly to Vietnam for the first two years, there are no limits on the number of American carriers operating code-share arrangements with non-U.S. airlines.

Continental has more than 2,200 daily departures to 127 domestic and 96 international destinations, with major hubs in Houston, Cleveland and Guam.  Its U.S. rivals United Airlines and American Airlines already have a presence in Vietnam.

American Airlines, the world's largest carrier, opened its offices last month and it is the only U.S. carrier to have so far lodged an application with the U.S. government to begin code share flights with Vietnam Airlines.

Continental and United were also expected to apply. However, the U.S. carriers cannot put their flag on Vietnam Airlines aircraft until the FAA has conducted a safety inspection of Vietnam's aviation operations. This could start within a few months.

For the moment, American carriers can offer services through a third airline that runs flights on behalf of Vietnam Airlines in its own code share deal.

The formal commencement of air links will be another significant step in the full normalization of relations between Washington and Hanoi, who only established diplomatic ties in 1995, two decades after the war ended.  http://www.usatoday.com/travel/news/2004-03-03-continental-vietnam_x.htm

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American Airline routes link Vietnam with US west coast 

Three airlines will offer flights from either Hanoi or Ho Chi Minh City to Los Angeles, San Francisco, San Diego or Las Vegas via Tokyo starting next month.

American Airlines, Japan Airlines and Vietnam Airlines will begin operating the routes on April 5. It will cost US$499 (VND7.86 million) to fly one way, and $899 to fly return.

American Airlines, which opened an office in Vietnam in February, has been flying from Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City to San Jose (California), Chicago, Dallas, New York and Los Angeles through Tokyo since January 1.

Passengers can connect with flights to 250 other destinations in the US and around the world from the US cities. American Airlines offers about 2,400 daily flights from the United States to destinations around the world.

Ngo Minh Duc, country general manager at American Airlines, said the airline was still working on plans for direct routes between Vietnam and the United States.

Vietnam Airlines announced plans to offer flights again from Quy Nhon to Hanoi through Da Nang, and will offer 10 weekly flights on the Quy Nhon-Ho Chi Minh City route, to meet rising demand.

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Southeast_Asia/FC11Ae02.html

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Vietnam Reduces Steel Tariffs to Stabilize Prices

According to the statement released from Vietnam Finance Ministry, the import tariff on seventeen types of steel products is reduced to 0% effective as of March 1, 2004. This ruling includes the current 5-20% tariff rate on basic steel products and 3-5% tariff rate on steel ingots.

The decision of reducing tariff rates on steel imports is taken with the purpose of stabilizing steel prices that have been following an upward trend for a long time, the Finance Minister stated.

Domestic steel prices in Vietnam are stated to be high as a result of rise in international prices and Vietnam’s dependence on imports.  

However, the 0% tariff is seen as a temporary solution by the Minister. http://www.steelvillage.com/readTitle.cfm?ID=2833&title=Vietnam%20Reduces%20Steel%20Tariffs%20to%20Stabilize%20Prices

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Vietnam's giant cement plant under construction

Construction of northeastern Vietnam's largest cement plant began in the mountainous province of Yen Bai on Sunday.

The Yen Binh cement plant, which is designed to produce 910,000 tonnes of cement per annum, will cost the Yen Bai Cement Joint Stock Co VND1.16 trillion (US$73.8 million).

Company president Phi Thai Binh said the plant will be equipped with overseas technology and is scheduled to start operating in December 2005, generating 600 jobs.

At Sunday's ground-breaking ceremony, Deputy Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung asked the company to strive for high-quality construction while not exceeding its budget.

Dung urged provincial administrators to ensure resettlements for a yet-to-be-determined number of households displaced by the new plant, with plans to finish a new residential area before the plant's completion.

The deputy prime minister held working sessions with Yen Bai leaders, where he praised the province's socio-economic achievements but pointed to problems with unemployment.

During his visit to Yen Bai, Dung also inspected the Van Phu bridge construction site, Thac Ba hydroelectric power plant and Hoang Lien Son Technical China Joint Stock Co.

Meanwhile, the Vietnam Cement Corp said it would invest more than VND3 trillion ($191 million), double last year's expenditure, to put the Tam Diep and Hai Phong cement plants into operation over the next two years. Construction of these plants had stagnated due to design changes and rising steel prices.

After the corporation's discussions with investors, the Hai Phong plant will focus on installing a 110-kilovolt electricity line, production lines and warehouses. The Tam Diep plant should conduct a trial run late this year.

The corporation would also continue building the Hoang Thach 3, Binh Phuoc, But Son 2 and Ha Tien 2-2 cement factories.
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Southeast_Asia/FC05Ae04.html

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About The Trans-Asia Highway

Laos and Thailand open borders for transit trucks From March 1, Laos and Thailand officially open their borders for free voyage of transit trucks from one of the two countries under an agreement reached by the transport ministries of the two countries recently in Luong Prabang of Laos. 

The agreement also allows the trucks to stay in the other country for 15 days or more. 

Laos - Thailand transport ties dated back long ago as trucks carrying imports and exports from Laos have already made their transit through Thailand. 

The two countries' decision to open borders, which goes in line with a regional project on transnational transport linkage scheduled to kick off by 2005, will help Laos boost transport development as well as other relevant services, said Khunnivong. Laos and Thailand have also signed a treaty on transport cooperation

Thailand to build five routes connecting to neighbors - The Transport Ministry of Thailand plans to set up five routes connecting to its neighboring countries, in order to support the government's policy of turning the country into a transport centre, according to the Thai National News Bureau. 

The five land transport routes will be Bangkok-Malaysia-Singapore in the south, Bangkok-Kanchnaburi-Tavoy in the west, Bangkok-Aranya Prathet-Phnom Penh-Ho Chi Minh City in the east, Bangkok-Mukdaharn-Savankhet-Dong Ha-Da Nang; Bangkok-Ubon Ratcha Thani-Pakse-Da Nang; Bangkok-Nakorn Phanom-Tha Khaek-Vinh; Bangkok-Nong Khai-Vientiane in the north-east, and Bangkok-Chiang Rai-Kunming in the north. 

The Ministry will construct new roads and mass transport routes which can be inter-connected. The Ministry will also support the transport by train from Leam Chabang Port to the transport terminals on the outskirts.  

In addition, the Ministry has accelerated the construction of a new airport, helping the country become an aviation hub

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Vietnam must seize the day on FDI
Foreign investment in Vietnam has had a rocky ride since 1996. Recent statements by Hanoi, however, indicate that the ride will be much smoother from now on. True, the economy is healthier now than a decade ago, and investments are coming in at a stronger rate than in the dismal late 1990s. But several business people with long experience in the country suggest that cautious optimism is the wise man's creed when considering investing in Vietnam. A look back at the unstable investment patterns of the past eight years will additionally help any would-be investor grasp the lay of the land.

FDI in Vietnam has experienced dramatic fluctuations, and the journey from command economy to the present has been a bumpy ride. Hanoi's policy turnaround has helped stabilize FDI.

If the seven years of reform since 1996 is any indicator, then Vietnam shows promise, but unless policymakers achieve an epiphany of capitalist prowess, then the pace will drag. In this case, investors must consider investment sectors carefully and not overestimate the country's potential, especially in the domestic market.

Many of the USA Vietnam Bilateral Trade Agreement statutes phase in over time, which will automatically open up the country to foreign investment and require it to follow internationally recognized standards of conduct. Hanoi's bid for entry into the WTO will have a similar effect. But while policy improvements will help better the economy, it is time for Vietnam to look past simply improving FDI policy and work on improving the business environment.

The ground is set for a major leap in FDI policy at the next Party Congress in 2006. This could occur sooner if China diverts too much FDI from Vietnam. It will be up to Hanoi to seize the day.  

Read the full story. (Copyright 2004 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd)

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The Promise of Vietnam
Statistics are impressive, but some experts still wary.  Vietnam lies to the south of China like the tail of a dragon. And as the dragon soars, the tail is flying high as an emerging economic power in Southeast Asia.

That is how some Western financiers see the country, which has been experimenting with market reforms over the past decade, privatizing state sectors, relaxing business laws and opening up to outside capital.

Those efforts may be paying off. The Vietnamese economy is humming with annual growth of about 7 percent, faster than most of Asia and close to China, according to government statistics.

Read the full story (Copyright 2004 The International Herald Tribune)

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Vietnam Vignettes is a periodic report distributed since early 1994. It is NOT a newsletter although for the ease of linkage we have called it that.  It is a summary of domestically published  media reports from more than 17 industrial sectors that we at VVG follow and report upon for our clients. Our primary sources are: Vietnam Economic Times, Saigon Weekly News, Viet Nam Daily News, Vietnam Investment Review, and Vietnam Business Journal.  * Due to the importance of certain topics of key importance to trade with Vietnam, we will occasionally include some wire and other media reports.

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