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Economic Indicators

Copyright © 1999 - 1997-2008 Venture Group, Inc.   Updated  January 5, 2001

This space provides the latest data that is available to us on key financial indicators.  This is for the most part the official government picture on the economic climate in Vietnam.   Please read this data in conjunction with Vietnam Vignettes ,  the various Business Articles , and our Service pages in order to learn how VVG may be able to meet your specific needs.  Please write to us if you have questions.

April 2000
Current Report

Rates of Inflation, Exchange, and Debt
Balance of Trade
Growth Rate of Merchandise Exports
Changes in Consumer Prices
GDP Growth (%)
GDP (converted to US$)
GDP per capita (converted to US$)
Foreign Capital Investment
Foreign Investment By Sector
Foreign Investment By Province

Current as of  the month reported, data sources include VVG original research,  General Statistical Office, MPI, International Herald Tribune, Vietnam Investment Review, Vietnam Economic Times, and Vietnam Business Journal

October 1998
December 1998
January 1999
March 1999
April 1999
May 1999
June 1999  
July 1999
Archives
Links to earlier reports are found here
August 1999
September 1999
October 1999
November 1999
December 1999 
January 2000

February 2000

 March 2000

 

Rates of Inflation & Currency Exchange

Current Annual Rate of Inflation:  0.8%  [Chart VET April 2000]  NOTE:  Inflation figures for the Tet period (February) are reported from 0.4% to2.0%

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Jan 00 Feb 00
14.4 12.7 4.5 3.8 9.2 0.7 0.4 0.4

Current Rate of Exchange (exchanging cash in new bills denominated in $100 or $50 only)
US dollar to Vietnam dong  1 : 14,060

[Unofficial projections remain that this will drop to 15,000 or 16,000 this year. While Vietnam and China both deny that their currencies will drop, the dong is floating lower.  As stories are still heard that the Chinese economy is in a conservative down spiral and that the Yuan will drop below 8.3 to the dollar, we recommend investors closely watching the dong as well.]

Outstanding External Debt in US$ millions (ADB): 1997 - 11,612;  1998 - 14,861; 1999 - n/a

Index                                                                                                  

 

 

Balance of Trade 1 US$ billions (1999 forecast figures: VET)

2000 (f) 2000 (rpt)2 1999  1998 1997 1996 1995 1994
Exports 1.75 11.9 9.4 8.9 7.1 5.2 4.1
Imports 1.85 12.01 11.4 11.2 11.1 7.5 5.3
Balance 
(+ -)
0.1 0.2 2.0 2.3 4.0 2.3 1.2

1.  Annual currency transfers from overseas Vietnamese adds an estimated $2.5 billion into the quiet economy, while smuggling adds approximately $1.5 billion more each year. These sums are not accounted for in this tabulation of only official reports.

2.  First two months in 2000 [VET].

Index

 

Growth Rate of Merchandise Exports as a percent of change from the prior year (ADB)

2000 (f) 1999  1998 1997
6.9 4.5 3.9 22.2

 

Change in Consumer Prices expressed as a percent of change from the prior year (ADB)

2000 (f) 1999 1998 1997
7.0 4.0 9.2 3.6

GDP Growth (%) Government Statistics Bureau/Asian Development Bank

2000 (f) 1999 (f)1 1998 1997 1996 1995
n/a / 4.5 4.3 / 3.7 5.8 / 4.0 8.8 / 8.2 9.34 9.54

1. First four months of 1999 GDP reported at 4.0%

Index

 

GDP (converted to US$ billion)   VND 1 = US$  14,000 (constant) Reported in billion dollars

1999  1998 1997 1996 1995
28.3 26 25 23.2 15.917

Index

 

GDP per capita (converted to US$)  VND 1 = US$  14,000 (constant) Reported in actual $ (vbj)

2000 (f) 1999  1998 1997 1996 1995
n/a 362 332 315 301 214.29

Index

 

Foreign Capital Investment 

All Nations: 2,927 projects with Total Investment Capital $36.63 billion. The numbers reported here are the most current and best data available from public sources, and their accuracy is highly suspect. Vietnam Investment Review, a publication of the MPI, no longer reports these numbers for any cross reference. 

Note: readers of these pages should note and compare prior months' reports.  The number of projects seem to be increasing month to month (see Singapore, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Britain, and the United States numbers from only March 2000) while the Total Capital did not change. As for Thailand, the number of projects increased from 76 to 122 while the Total Capital decreased by $100 million.

In addition, note that following the December's Economic Indicator, the overall number of projects as reported by VET  jumped dramatically (from 1,802 to  2,855) while the number of dollars invested increased by less than $2 billion.  It is also noted that there was no dramatic, year end boost in foreign investment to justify a difference of these proportions.

Top Twelve Nations (March 30, 2000 by VET)  

Rank

Nation

Number of
Projects
Total Capital (US$)

Rank

Nation

Number of
Projects
Total Capital (US$)
1 Singapore 244 5.76b 7 Br.Virgin Islands 85 1.7b
2 Taiwan 578 4.77b 8 Russia 61 1.52b
3 Japan 316 3.50b 9 United States 112 1.3b
4 Hong Kong 317 3.34b 10 Britain 30 1.11b
5 Republic Korea 275 3.09b 11 Malaysia 80 1.09b
6 France 152 2.15b 12 Thailand 122 1.0b

Index

 

Foreign Investment By Sector  Total Foreign Investment by Sector (US$) (Apr 2000 VET)   Note: since December's Economic Indicator, the number of projects as reported by VET  has jumped dramatically (> 1,000) while the number of dollars invested has increased by > $2 billion. These numbers are highly suspect. There has been no indication of any dramatic, year end boost in direct or size foreign investment to justify a difference of such proportions.

Sector

# of Projects Total Invested

Sector

# of Projects Total Invested
General Industry 1,514 12.10b Agriculture & Forestry 260 1.07b
Hotels & Tourism 305 8.09b Services 151 845.9m
Construction 278 7.21 Fisheries 92 340.7m
Transport, Communication 
and Post
135 3.20b Finance & Banking 34 233.3m
Oil & Gas 60 3.05b Others 94 489.8m

Construction was added as a new category in February 2000.  Categories now eliminated from the above list (see archives of Economic Reports) are Industrial Zones, Export Processing Zones, and Housing Development. 

Index

 

Foreign Investment By Province: Top Ten Locations by Total Investment Capital. 
NOTES: (1) These figures are as reported by Vietnam Economic Times (VET). The data is not always consistent.  (2) Accurate figures for Capital Committed are not readily available.  Estimates differ among multinational institutions but currently run at between $4 billion to $8 billion. (3) Investments in the same provinces made in 1999 as reported by VIR of 24 December 1999. 

Province

Number of projects to 31Dec99 1

Total Investment
(US$ b) 1

1999 Number of Investments 3 1999 Investments US$ millions 3
HCMC 990 10.56 98 453
Hanoi 429 7.42 28 247.91
Dong Nai 284 3.18 13 36.49
BaRia-Vung Tau 97 2.52 5 247.96
Hai Phong 111 1.37 13 41.27
Binh Duong 280 1.70 59 282.64
Lam Dong 49 0.865 3 3.18
Quang Ngai 8 1.33 12 20.65
Da Nang 60 0.785 2 1.58
Quang Ninh 52 0.847 8 16.2

Index


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