| Consultant Services | People | Business & Investment Articles | Business & Investment Property Development | Catalog Handicraft Sales |
VVG - VIETNAM VENTURE GROUP, Inc.Economic IndicatorsCopyright © 1999 - 1997-2008 Venture Group, Inc. Updated March 5, 2000 |
This space provides the latest data that is available to us on key financial indicators. This is the official government picture on the economic climate in Vietnam. Please read this data in conjunction with Vietnam Vignettes , the various Business Articles , and our Service pages in order to learn how VVG may be able to meet your specific needs. Please write to us if you have questions.
Current as of the month reported, data sources include VVG original research, General Statistical Office, MPI, Vietnam Investment Review, Vietnam Economic Times, and Vietnam Business Journal
| October
1998 December 1998 January 1999 March 1999 April 1999 May 1999 June 1999 |
Archives Links to earlier reports are found here |
July
1999 August 1999 September 1999 October 1999 November 1999 December 1999 January 2000 February 2000 |
Rates of Inflation & Currency Exchange
Current Annual Rate of Inflation: 2.0% [Chart VET Feb 2000] NOTE: This report changed remarkably between December 1999 and January 2000, and appears to be a much more accurate reflection of the inflation numbers for 1999
| Apr 99 | May 99 | Jun 99 | Jul 99 | Aug 99 | Sept 99 | Oct 99 | Nov 99 | Dec 99 |
| 2.3 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | - 0.8 | - 0.4 | 0.5 |
| 1994 | 1995 | 1996 | 1997 | 1998 | Jan 99 | Feb 99 | Mar 99 |
| 14.4 | 12.7 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 9.2 | 1.7 | 3.6 | 2.9 |
Current Rate of Exchange (exchanging cash
in new bills denominated in $100 or $50 only)
US dollar to Vietnam dong 1 : 14,040
[Unofficial projections remain that this will drop to 15,000 or 16,000 this year. While Vietnam and China both deny that their currencies will drop, the dong is floating lower. As stories are still heard that the Chinese economy is in a conservative down spiral and that the Yuan will drop below 8.3 to the dollar, we recommend investors closely watching the dong as well.]
Outstanding External Debt in US$ millions (ADB): 1997 - 11,612; 1998 - 14,861; 1999 - n/a
Balance of Trade 1 US$ billions (1999 forecast figures: VET)
| 2000 (f) | 2000 (rpt) | 1999 (f) | 1999 (rpt) | 1998 | 1997 | 1996 | 1995 | 1994 | |
| Exports | 10.0 | 10.234 | 9.4 | 8.9 | 7.1 | 5.2 | 4.1 | ||
| Imports | 11.5 | 10.347 | 11.4 | 11.2 | 11.1 | 7.5 | 5.3 | ||
| Balance (+ -) |
1.5 | 0.1132 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
1. Annual currency transfers from overseas Vietnamese adds an estimated $2.5 billion into the quiet economy, while smuggling adds approximately $1.5 billion more each year. These sums are not accounted for in this tabulation of only official reports.
2. First ten months in 1999 [VIR].
Growth Rate of Merchandise Exports as a percent of change from the prior year (ADB)
| 2000 (f) | 1999 (f) | 1998 | 1997 |
| 6.9 | 5.0 | 3.9 | 22.2 |
Change in Consumer Prices expressed as a percent of change from the prior year (ADB)
| 2000 (f) | 1999 (f) | 1998 | 1997 |
| 7.0 | 8.0 | 9.2 | 3.6 |
GDP Growth (%) Government Statistics Bureau/Asian Development Bank
| 2000 (f) | 1999 (f)1 | 1998 | 1997 | 1996 | 1995 |
| n/a / 4.5 | 4.3 / 3.7 | 5.8 / 4.0 | 8.8 / 8.2 | 9.34 | 9.54 |
1. First four months of 1999 GDP reported at 4.0%
GDP (converted to US$ billion) VND 1 = US$ 14,000 (constant) Reported in billion dollars
| 1999 (f) | 1998 | 1997 | 1996 | 1995 |
| n/a | 26 | 25 | 23.2 | 15.917 |
GDP per capita (converted to US$) VND 1 = US$ 14,000 (constant) Reported in actual $ (vbj)
| 2000 (f) | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 | 1996 | 1995 |
| n/a | n/a | 332 | 315 | 301 | 214.29 |
All Nations: 2,895 projects with Total Investment Capital $36.56 billion. The numbers reported here are the most current and best data available from public sources, and their accuracy is highly suspect. Vietnam Investment Review, a publication of the MPI, no longer reports these numbers for any cross reference.
Note: readers of these pages should note and compare prior months' reports. The number of projects seem to be increasing month to month (see Singapore, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Britain, and the United States numbers from only last month) while the Total Capital did not change. As for Thailand, the number of projects increased from 76 to 122 while the Total Capital decreased by $100 million.
In addition, note that following the December's Economic Indicator, the overall number of projects as reported by VET jumped dramatically (from 1,802 to 2,855) while the number of dollars invested increased by less than $2 billion. It is also noted that there was no dramatic, year end boost in foreign investment to justify a difference of these proportions.
Top Twelve Nations (February 2000 by VET)
| Rank |
Nation |
Number of Projects |
Total Capital (US$) |
Rank |
Nation |
Number of Projects |
Total Capital (US$) |
| 1 | Singapore | 241 | 5.75b | 7 | Br.Virgin Islands | 83 | 1.69b |
| 2 | Taiwan | 562 | 4.7b | 8 | Russia | 61 | 1.52b |
| 3 | Japan | 311 | 3.49b | 9 | United States | 112 | 1.3b |
| 4 | Hong Kong | 317 | 3.34b | 10 | Britain | 37 | 1.13b |
| 5 | Republic Korea | 274 | 3.09b | 11 | Malaysia | 80 | 1.09b |
| 6 | France | 152 | 2.15b | 12 | Thailand | 122 | 1.0b |
Foreign Investment By Sector Total Foreign Investment by Sector (US$) (Dec VET) Note: since December's Economic Indicator, the number of projects as reported by VET has jumped dramatically (> 1,000) while the number of dollars invested has increased by > $2 billion. These numbers are highly suspect. There has been no indication of any dramatic, year end boost in direct or size foreign investment to justify a difference of such proportions.
|
Sector |
# of Projects | Total Invested |
Sector |
# of Projects | Total Invested |
| General Industry | 1,493 | 12.06b | Agriculture & Forestry | 259 | 1.07b |
| Hotels & Tourism | 304 | 8.9b | Services | 146 | 829.8m |
| Construction | 278 | 7.21 | Fisheries | 92 | 340.7m |
| Transport,
Communication and Post |
135 | 3.2b | Finance & Banking | 34 | 233.3m |
| Oil & Gas | 60 | 3.05b | Others | 94 | 489.8m |
Construction was added as a new category in February 2000. Categories now eliminated from the above list (see archives of Economic Reports) are Industrial Zones, Export Processing Zones, and Housing Development.
Foreign
Investment By Province:
Top Ten Locations by Total Investment Capital.
NOTES: (1) These figures are as reported by Vietnam Economic Times (VET).
The data is not aways consistant. (2) Accurate figures for Capital
Committed are not readily available. Estimates differ among multinational
institutions but currently run at between $4 billion to $8 billion. (3)
Investments in the same provinces made in 1999 as reported by VIR of 24 December
1999.
|
Province |
Number of projects to 31Dec99 1 |
Total Investment |
1999 Number of Investments 3 | 1999 Investments US$ millions 3 |
| HCMC | 985 | 10.5 | 94 | 453 |
| Hanoi | 425 | 7.42 | 28 | 247.91 |
| Dong Nai | 284 | 3.18 | 13 | 36.49 |
| BaRia-Vung Tau | 96 | 2.52 | 5 | 247.96 |
| Hai Phong | 110 | 1.37 | 13 | 41.27 |
| Binh Duong | 268 | 1.68 | 59 | 282.64 |
| Lam Dong | 49 | 0.865 | 3 | 3.18 |
| Quang Ngai | 8 | 1.33 | 12 | 20.65 |
| Da Nang | 60 | 0.785 | 2 | 1.58 |
| Quang Ninh | 52 | 0.847 | 8 | 16.2 |
Economic Archives | Newsletter | Services | People | Catalog Handicraft Sales | Articles | Property Development | FAQ
Write to us | or locate Our Offices